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Creators/Authors contains: "Collier, Melissa"

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  1. Infectious diseases have detrimental impacts across wildlife taxa. Despite this, we often lack information on the complex spatial and contact structures of host populations, reducing our ability to understand disease spread and our preparedness for epidemic response. This is also prevalent in the marine environment, where rapid habitat changes due to anthropogenic disturbances and human-induced climate change are heightening the vulnerability of marine species to disease. Recognizing these risks, we leveraged a collated dataset to establish a data-driven epidemiological metapopulation model for Tamanend’s bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops erebennus), whose populations are periodically impacted by deadly respiratory disease. We found their spatial distribution and contact is heterogeneous throughout their habitat and by ecotype, which explains differences in past infection burdens. With our metapopulation approach, we demonstrate spatial hotspots for epidemic risk during migratory seasons and that populations in some central estuaries would be the most effective sentinels for disease surveillance. These mathematical models provide a generalizable, non-invasive tool that takes advantage of routinely collected wildlife data to mechanistically understand disease transmission and inform disease surveillance tactics. Our findings highlight the heterogeneities that play a crucial role in shaping the impacts of infectious diseases, and how a data-driven understanding of these mechanisms enhances epidemic preparedness. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available July 1, 2026
  2. Anthropogenic global change is occurring at alarming rates, leading to increased urgency in the ability to monitor wildlife health in real time. Monitoring sentinel marine species, such as bottlenose dolphins, is particularly important due to extensive anthropogenic modifications to their habitats. The most common non-invasive method of monitoring cetacean health is documentation of skin lesions, often associated with poor health or disease, but the current methodology is inefficient and imprecise. Recent advancements in technology, such as machine learning, can provide researchers with more efficient ecological monitoring methods to address health questions at both the population and the individual levels. Our work develops a machine learning model to classify skin lesions on the understudied Tamanend's bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops erebennus) of the Chesapeake Bay, using manual estimates of lesion presence in photographs. We assess the model's performance and find that our best model performs with a high mean average precision (65.6 %–86.8 %), and generally increased accuracy with improved photo quality. We also demonstrate the model's ability to address ecological questions across scales by generating model-based estimates of lesion prevalence and testing the effect of gregariousness on health status. At the population level, our model accurately estimates a prevalence of 72.1 % spot and 27.3 % fringe ring lesions, with a slight underprediction compared to manual estimates (82.2 % and 32.1 %). On the other hand, we find that individual-level analyses from the model predictions may be more sensitive to data quality, and thus, some individual scale questions may not be feasible to address if data quality is inconsistent. Manually, we do find that lesion presence in individuals suggests a positive relationship between lesion presence and gregariousness. This work demonstrates that object detection models on photographic data are reasonably successful, highly efficient, and provide initial estimates on the health status of understudied populations of bottlenose dolphins. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available March 1, 2026
  3. Min, Byungjoon (Ed.)
    The social brain hypothesis posits that species with larger brains tend to have greater social complexity. Various lines of empirical evidence have supported the social brain hypothesis, including evidence from the structure of social networks. Cooperation is a key component of group living, particularly among primates, and theoretical research has shown that particular structures of social networks foster cooperation more easily than others. Therefore, we hypothesized that species with a relatively large brain size tend to form social networks that better enable cooperation. In the present study, we combine data on brain size and social networks with theory on the evolution of cooperation on networks to test this hypothesis in non-human primates. We have found a positive effect of brain size on cooperation in social networks even after controlling for the effect of other structural properties of networks that are known to promote cooperation. 
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  4. Pathogen traits can vary greatly and heavily impact the ability of a pathogen to persist in a population. Although this variation is fundamental to disease ecology, little is known about the evolutionary pressures that drive these differences, particularly where they interact with host behaviour. We hypothesized that host behaviours relevant to different transmission routes give rise to differences in contact network structure, constraining the space over which pathogen traits can evolve to maximize fitness. Our analysis of 232 contact networks across mammals, birds, reptiles, amphibians, arthropods, fish and molluscs found that contact network topology varies by contact type, most notably in networks that are representative of fluid-exchange transmission. Using infectious disease model simulations, we showed that these differences in network structure suggest pathogens transmitted through fluid-exchange contact types will need traits associated with high transmissibility to successfully proliferate, compared to pathogens that transmit through other types of contact. These findings were supported through a review of known traits of pathogens that transmit in humans. Our work demonstrates that contact network structure may drive the evolution of compensatory pathogen traits according to transmission strategy, providing essential context for understanding pathogen evolution and ecology. 
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  5. Abstract Barnacles can reveal much about the physiology, health, and spatial ecology of their cetacean hosts. Here, we examine how temperature and hydrodynamic factors impact presence ofXenobalanus globicipitis, a pseudo‐stalked barnacle that attaches exclusively to cetaceans. We hypothesized that temperature is a key environmental factor (i.e., water temperature) and physiological factor, in thatX. globicipitisprefers the warmest skin temperature for attachment, possibly as a mechanism for survival in colder waters. First, we demonstrate a global relationship between spatial ecology of host species and presence ofX. globicipitis. Notably,X. globicipitisis absent in the four species occupying waters with the lowest sea surface temperature (SST) year‐round, but present in migratory species that likely acquire the barnacle in waters with higher SST. Second, barnacle attachment location on common bottlenose dolphin (Tursiops truncatus) dorsal fins corresponds with fin temperature and hydrodynamics. Although body temperature may influence attachment location on the body of the animal, hydrodynamic forces, as previously proposed, determine how well barnacles can remain attached during the adult stage.X. globicipitisprevalence likely provides important bioindicator, ecological, and physiological information about its host. As parasitic infestation has some cost, these results have implications for cetacean health in warming seas. 
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